HOT OF THE PRESS >> Epidemiologist model so wrong x 25 over
Epidemiologist Neil Ferguson, who created the highly-cited Imperial
College London coronavirus model
has been instrumental in governmental policy decision making,
offered a massive revision to his model on Wednesday.
***HE NOW REALIZES HE #MODELED #INCORRECTLY***,
and what he initially predicted to be a severe loss of lives will
actually be 25 TIMES LESS DEADLY than originally projected. Sourcecontent pasted below
BREAKING This is the #epidemiologist who created a mathematical model to predict the severity of #COVID19 which many other nations, including ours, used to create drastic lockdown policies for its citizens. Epidemiologist Behind Highly-Cited Coronavirus Model Admits He Was Wrong, Drastically Revises Model❗️ “Epidemiologist Neil Ferguson, who created the highly-cited Imperial College London coronavirus model, which has been cited by organizations like The New York Times and has been instrumental in governmental policy decision-making, offered a massive revision to his model on Wednesday. Ferguson’s model projected 2.2 million dead people in the United States and 500,000 in the U.K. from COVID-19 if no action were taken to slow the virus and blunt its curve. https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/imperial-college-scientist-who-predicted-500k-coronavirus-deaths-in-uk-revises-to-20k-or-less However, after just one day of ordered lockdowns in the U.K., Ferguson has changed his tune, revealing that far more people likely have the virus than his team figured. Now, the epidemiologist predicts, hospitals will be just fine taking on COVID-19 patients and estimates 20,000 or far fewer people will die from the virus itself or from its agitation of other ailments. Ferguson thus dropped his prediction from 500,000 dead to 20,000. Author and former New York Times reporter Alex Berenson broke down the bombshell report via Twitter on Thursday morning. “He now says both that the U.K. should have enough ICU beds and that the coronavirus will probably kill under 20,000 people in the U.K. — more than 1/2 of whom would have died by the end of the year in any case [because] they were so old and sick,” he wrote. https://twitter.com/AlexBerenson/status/1243277722819977217 To put this number in context, there are usually thousands of deaths from the flu each year in the U.K. Here is some information from the University of Oxford on deaths ranging from 600-13,000 per year. [In the US, the number of deaths from influenza and other respiratory viruses is 20,000-50,000 every year]. Berenson continued: “Essentially, what has happened is that estimates of the viruses transmissibility have increased — which implies that many more people have already gotten it than we realize — which in turn implies it is less dangerous.” “Ferguson now predicts that the epidemic in the U.K. will peak and subside within ‘two to three weeks’ — last week’s paper said 18+ months of quarantine would be necessary,” the former reporter highlighted. Ferguson’s change of tune comes days after Oxford epidemiologist Sunetra Gupta criticized the professor’s model. https://www.dailywire.com/news/oxford-epidemiologist-heres-why-that-doomsday-model-is-likely-way-off
“I am surprised that there has been such unqualified acceptance of the Imperial model,” Gupta said, according to the Financial Times. Professor Gupta led a team of researchers at Oxford in a modeling study which suggests that the virus has been invisibly spreading for at least a month earlier than suspected, concluding that as many as half of the people in the United Kingdom have already been infected by COVID-19. If her model is accurate, fewer than one in a thousand who’ve been infected with COVID-19 become sick enough to need hospitalization, leaving the vast majority with mild cases or free of symptoms. In other words, The multivariate-probabilistic sensitivity analysis results supported the base-case findings, with a 75% probability for the false-positive rate of positive results over 47%. Conclusions: In the close contacts of COVID-19 patients, nearly half or even more of the 'asymptomatic infected individuals' reported in the active nucleic acid test screening might be false positives. WEBSITE link https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/32133832/ Prof. Gøtzsche: Corona is more than anything else a mass panic epidemic article google translated https://translate.google.com/translate?hl=en&sl=de&u=http://blauerbote.com/2020/03/23/prof-gotzsche-corona-ist-mehr-als-alles-andere-eine-massenpanik-epidemie/&prev=search google translated
https://translate.google.com/traunslate?hl=en&sl=de&u=http://blauerbote.com/2020/03/25/prof-yoram-lass-coronavirus-weniger-gefaehrlich-als-die-grippe/&prev=search
Dr. Dan Yaminhttps://english.tau.ac.il/profile/yamind https://www.eastonspectator.com/2020/03/24/noted-israeli-engineer-is-latest-expert-to-question-who-directors-outrageous-claim-of-3-4-coronavirus-mortality-rate/ Dr David Katzhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/David_L._Katz https://twitter.com/DrDavidKatz/status/1242244749538529282 multiple New York time articles - subscription required
Dr Joel Kettnerhttp://umanitoba.ca/faculties/health_sciences/medicine/units/chs/faculty_and_staff/fac_kettner.html https://www.globalresearch.ca/12-experts-questioning-coronavirus-panic/5707532 Dr Sucharit Bhakdihttps://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sucharit_Bhakdi https://hitchensblog.mailonsunday.co.uk/2020/03/an-expert-says-the-current-response-to-the-coronavirus-is-grotesque-absurd-and-very-dangerous.html https://www.globalresearch.ca/12-experts-questioning-coronavirus-panic/5707532 Dr F Montgomeryhttps://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Frank_Ulrich_Montgomery Google Translated
https://translate.google.com/translate?hl=en&sl=de&u=https://www.general-anzeiger-bonn.de/news/politik/deutschland/interview-mit-weltaerztepraesident-montgomery-ueber-corona-pandemie-ist-chaos_aid-49609561&prev=search
Dr Didier Raoulthttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Didier_Raoult https://www.cbs19news.com/story/41922088/prof-didier-raoult-discusses-coronavirus-and-chloroquine Dr Wolfgang Wodarghttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wolfgang_Wodarg https://www.globalresearch.ca/video-how-dr-wolfgang-wodarg-sees-current-corona-pandemic/5707298 Videosadded to page 28/3
Media Dan Bongino is hard core
added to page 28/3
CoV Cough 19 NOT a Virus! Rather A 5G GE Electronic Battle for Your Soul Forever and Ever
added to page 28/3
added to page 27/3
Your ALL GOING TO GET IT .. stay calm your immune system will be tested
its just weird how some people already know stuff
added to page 28/3
speaker and source of video not know, nor is the reason for the country symbol
it could be a comedy skit but it happens to make sense in sync with 5G refer below
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its just weird how some people already know stuff
speaker and source of video not know, nor is the reason for the country symbol
it could be a comedy skit but it happens to make sense in sync with 5G refer below
![]() ![]() Faqupdated 28/3/2020
status quoupdated 28/3/2020
death and chaos from global shutdown will far outweigh the death from the virus the majority of deaths would most likely be occur Season Flu (global stats 500,000 pa)
2009 Season Flu (Swine Flu) PANDEMIC https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2009_flu_pandemic
short link this section https://rebrand.ly/covid-19ModelWrong#TOC-Stats
Covid-19 / Corona novel (animal) virus
updated 28/3/2020
compare to 2009 season flu - Swine Flu
Related stats
83% of global population NOT AT RISK of death
FC statsGlobal Deaths: starvation = 9 mil Global population 7.8bil Global elderly population 962 mil Global population unwell = 95% WHO added 30/03
added 28/3
added 28/3
world Death clock window below https://www.worldometers.info/
scroll the window to see deaths per year or day
Outcome: Covid-19
95% of the deaths were underlying illness or elderly / terminal
the data is not accurate as it has been collated in a rush / best guess / using untested equipment
Italy reported 30% of test equipment from China failed
Australia has cases of people turned away from initial test station to later confirm they have corona
The Elderly
90% of the elderly that die from Covid-Con would otherwise die from the Season Flu during the next 9 mths
that will be evidenced by the stats for Season Flu (Globally 500k)
Season Flu 2017 600k 2019 400k - average is 500k (google search it)
Crisis of covid-19
1. MS media Hysteria reporting
2. Financial chaos - stressed families, looting, starvation,
3. Broken emergency service to elderly and sick dying at home from Hysteria no medicals or care support as those
people have to keep a social distance or in isolation due to contracting the virus
2019-2020 Deaths Season Flu down
Related topicsbest fake and Truth on COVID-19 Rebrand of Seasonal Flu join the group and "Get on board" ![]() Scientific Community fabricated data on COVID-19 Dr. Wolfgang Wodarg vid: ![]() added 24/3/20 10 min vid by Dr Thomas Cowan explains that a virus is created inside your body becoz of disease and what caused the disease (5G) - easy to follow vid link to video ![]() ![]() ![]() Best Diary of COV events Rock Fell cut cover
A Swiss Doctor on Covid-19 daily log at wab ![]() ![]() ![]() best fake and Truth on COVID-19 Rebrand of Seasonal Flu
join the group and "Get on board"https://www.facebook.com/groups/204568537437863/
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